Harshvardhan Mishra
The 2025 Delhi Legislative Assembly election, held on February 5, 2025, has garnered significant attention as the Aam Aadmi Party (AAP), Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP), and Indian National Congress (INC) vied for control over the 70-member assembly. As the city awaits the official results on February 8, various exit polls have provided projections on the potential outcome.
Delhi Election Exit Poll 2025 Projections:
| Polling Agency | AAP Seats | BJP Seats | INC Seats | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matrize | 32–37 | 35–40 | 0–1 | 0 | Hung |
| P-Marq | 21–31 | 39–49 | 0–1 | 0 | 8–28 |
| People’s Insight | 25–29 | 40–44 | 0–2 | 0 | 11–19 |
| People’s Pulse – Codema | 10–19 | 51–60 | 0 | 0 | 32–50 |
| Poll Diary | 18–25 | 42–50 | 0–2 | 0 | 17–32 |
| Chanakya Strategies | 25–28 | 39–44 | 2–3 | 0–1 | 11–19 |
| DV Research | 26–34 | 36–44 | 0 | 0 | 2–18 |
| JVC | 22–31 | 39–45 | 0–2 | 0 | 8–23 |
| Mind Brink | 44–49 | 21–25 | 0–1 | 0 | 19–28 |
| Weepreside | 46–52 | 18–23 | 0–1 | 0 | 23–34 |
| SAS Group | 27–30 | 38–41 | 1–3 | 0 | 8–14 |
| Superbo-Poll | 38–43 | 20–25 | 7–12 | 0 | 13–23 |
Note: Source : Times of India | The ‘Lead’ column indicates the seat difference between the leading party and the runner-up.
Key Takeaways:
- BJP’s Prospects: Several exit polls, including those by People’s Pulse – Codema and Poll Diary, project a significant lead for the BJP, suggesting a potential shift in Delhi’s political landscape.
- AAP’s Standing: While some polls indicate a decline for AAP compared to previous elections, agencies like Mind Brink and Weepreside still predict a substantial number of seats for the party, indicating a competitive race.
- INC’s Position: The Indian National Congress is projected to secure minimal to no seats, reflecting its ongoing challenges in the capital’s political arena.
Historical Context:
In the 2020 Delhi Assembly elections, AAP achieved a landslide victory, securing 62 out of 70 seats, while the BJP won the remaining 8 seats. The Congress did not win any seats in that election. (en.wikipedia.org)
Reactions from Parties:
The AAP has dismissed the exit poll predictions, citing historical underestimations of their performance. Conversely, the BJP has welcomed the projections, interpreting them as a mandate for change in Delhi’s governance.
As the city anticipates the official results on February 8, these exit polls offer a glimpse into potential outcomes, though the final verdict rests with the electorate.
